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NPB countdown to 200 hits, September 21 update

by on Sep.21, 2010 @ 11:00 am, under NPB

On September 2nd, Tsuyoshi Nishioka (LOT) was batting .328 and was on track to finish the season with a 196 hits.  Since then, he's gone on a bit of a tear and went 28-for-63 (.444) and is now on track to finish the season with 204 hits.  An impressive push from Nishioka down the stretch.

Note: this isn't to take anything away from Matt Murton or Norichika Aoki.  They have also increased their hit rates since September 2nd -- Murton went from batting .343 to .352 and Aoki from .350 to .358.

I think it's also safe to say that at this point, Munenori Kawasaki is out of the running.

The numbers:

Player G PA AB H GR AB/G Last 10
Games
Norichika Aoki 131 610 534 191 13 4.1 16-for-36
Matt Murton 131 608 560 197 13 4.3 19-for-42
Tsuyoshi Nishioka 137 660 569 194 7 4.2 19-for-42
Kensuke Tanaka 137 634 550 186 6 4.0 11-for-38
Munenori Kawasaki 141 648 588 184 3 4.2 9-for-41

The estimates:

Player Estimated
At Bats
Hits
Needed
Needs to bat
at least
Norichika Aoki 53 9 .1698
Matt Murton 56 3 .0540
Tsuyoshi Nishioka 29 6 .2064
Kensuke Tanaka 24 14 .5812
Munenori Kawasaki 13 16 --

Based on the current rates:

Player Current
AVG
Estimated
Hits
Estimated
H Total
Norichika Aoki .3577 19 210
Matt Murton .3518 20 217
Tsuyoshi Nishioka .3409 10 204
Kensuke Tanaka .3382 8 194
Munenori Kawasaki .3129 4 188